We confidently predict that Italy will secure a commanding victory over Israel in their upcoming UEFA Nations League encounter. Backing Italy at -2.5 goals on the Asian Handicap looks like a solid betting opportunity, offering attractive odds of 2.48. Italy’s dominance in recent home games, coupled with Israel’s poor form, supports the idea that the Azzurri will comfortably prevail.
Italy vs Israel Match Preview & Head-to-Head Record
Italy comes into this match after a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Belgium in the Nations League. Despite having only 42% possession, they managed four shots on target, with Andrea Cambiaso and Mateo Retegui both finding the back of the net at Stadio Olimpico.
On the other hand, Israel’s recent 4-1 home loss to France highlighted their defensive frailties. Omri Gandelman scored the lone goal for Israel in a match where they had just 35% possession and only one shot on target at Bozsik Arena.
In their last meeting, Italy narrowly defeated Israel 2-1, with the match once again held at Bozsik Arena. However, with Italy’s recent form, this upcoming fixture could see a much more decisive result in favor of the Italians.
Italy’s Last 10 Competitive Matches: Key Stats
Italy has had a mixed record over their last ten competitive games, achieving four wins, three draws, and three losses. They’ve averaged 1.6 goals per game from 4.3 shots on target, with an overall average of 12.4 attempts per game. Italy’s possession rate stands at 52%, alongside an impressive 543.9 passes per game and 4.9 corners. Defensively, they’ve conceded 1.4 goals per match, allowing 4.0 shots on target from an average of 10.0 attempts.
Top Scorers:
- Davide Frattesi
- Giacomo Raspadori
- Federico Chiesa
Each of these players has scored two goals in Italy’s last ten games. Meanwhile, Federico Dimarco, Giacomo Raspadori, and Nicolo Barella lead the team in assists, with two each.
Israel’s Last 10 Competitive Matches: Key Stats
Israel’s form has been much more concerning. Over their last ten competitive matches, they’ve won just two, lost six, and drawn two. Their offensive numbers are weak, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on target, and only 9.6 attempts per match. Defensively, they’ve conceded 1.8 goals per game on average from 12.4 attempts and 5.9 shots on target.
Top Scorers:
- Eran Zahavi with two goals.
- Omri Gandelman, Mohammad Abu Fani, Gadi Kinda, and Shon Weissman each contributed one goal.
Oscar Gloukh, Raz Shlomo, and Avishay Cohen are tied for the most assists in the team, each with one.
Italy vs Israel Predicted Lineups
Italy (3-5-1-1):
- GK: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- DF: Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori
- MF: Andrea Cambiaso, Nicolo Fagioli, Samuele Ricci, Sandro Tonali, Federico Dimarco
- FW: Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui
Israel (3-4-2-1):
- GK: Omri Glazer
- DF: Ilay Feingold, Idan Nachmias, Matan Baltaxa
- MF: Liel Abada, Doron Leidner, Gabi Kanichowsky, Mohammad Abu Fani, Omri Gandelman
- FW: Oscar Gloukh, Tai Baribo
Italy vs Israel Expert Analysis: Key Factors Supporting Italy’s Dominance
Italy’s Home Form:
Italy has been a formidable force at home, remaining unbeaten in their last nine matches on home soil. Moreover, they’ve won seven of their last ten home games, showcasing their ability to perform well in front of their own fans.
Goalscoring Prowess:
The Azzurri have scored two or more goals in seven of their last ten home matches. Given Israel’s defensive struggles, Italy could be in for another multi-goal game.
Israel’s Defensive Issues:
Israel has lost their last three consecutive matches and conceded two or more goals in nine of their previous 20 games. This vulnerability at the back makes them highly susceptible to Italy’s attacking threats.
Italy vs Israel Betting Markets & Predictions
Given the above factors, we are confident in backing Italy to win with a handicap of -2.5 goals. The odds of 2.48 present a valuable opportunity for those who believe Italy can secure a three-goal margin victory or more.
Alternatively, bettors can explore the Half-Time/Full-Time market, especially if they expect Italy to lead at both intervals.
For those looking for additional betting options, consider the Over 2.5 Goals market, which suggests a high-scoring affair. The No option on the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market at 1.61 is another solid bet, especially given Israel’s struggles in front of goal.
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Conclusion
Italy is well-positioned to secure a comprehensive victory over Israel in this Nations League clash. With a potent attack and solid home record, the Azzurri should dominate proceedings. The -2.5 Asian Handicap offers a compelling value bet, and punters should also consider alternative markets such as Half-Time/Full-Time and Over 2.5 Goals.
