Switzerland vs Denmark: Nations League Match Analysis and Prediction

Introduction

As Switzerland and Denmark prepare to face off in the UEFA Nations League, this encounter promises to be a tight, closely fought contest. Both teams have shown inconsistent form recently, and with their head-to-head history indicating competitive matches, we predict a balanced game with the possibility of a draw. Below, we provide an in-depth analysis of both teams’ recent performances, squad updates, and key statistics to guide your betting decisions.

Switzerland vs Denmark Recent Form and Performance

Switzerland

Switzerland has been struggling in recent games, managing only 2 wins in their last 10 competitive matches. During this period, they have also recorded 5 losses and 3 draws. With an average of 1.3 goals per match from 3.7 shots on target, Switzerland has struggled to convert possession into goals, despite maintaining a relatively high average of 54.6% ball control per game. The Swiss defense has not been as solid as expected, allowing opponents to score an average of 1.9 goals per match from 3.8 shots on target.

Leading the charge for Switzerland are Breel Embolo and Ruben Vargas, who have each contributed 2 goals, while Zeki Amdouni has added 1 goal to his name. Despite some attacking potential, Switzerland has shown vulnerability, especially in matches against stronger opponents like Spain and Serbia.

Key Stats:

  • Wins: 2
  • Draws: 3
  • Losses: 5
  • Goals per match: 1.3
  • Average possession: 54.6%

Denmark

Denmark has performed more consistently than their Swiss counterparts, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 competitive matches. Averaging 1.0 goals per game from 4.1 shots on target, Denmark is capable of creating chances, although they, too, have struggled to find the back of the net frequently. Their defensive record is more impressive, with only 0.9 goals conceded on average per match. Notably, Kasper Schmeichel has kept 3 clean sheets during this period, showcasing Denmark’s defensive discipline.

Yussuf Poulsen leads Denmark’s scoring chart with 2 goals, while Albert Groenbaek, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, and others have contributed 1 goal each. Denmark’s attack, led by these players, remains their main strength as they aim to secure a crucial win against Switzerland.

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Key Stats:

  • Wins: 4
  • Draws: 3
  • Losses: 3
  • Goals per match: 1.0
  • Average possession: 56.5%

Switzerland vs Denmark Head-to-Head Record

In the last 4 meetings between Switzerland and Denmark, Denmark has emerged victorious twice, while the other two encounters ended in draws. The most recent meeting saw Denmark win 2-0 in Copenhagen. On average, these matches have produced 2.25 goals per game, indicating that both teams tend to play closely contested, low-scoring affairs when they meet.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

  • Denmark 2-0 Switzerland (Parken, Copenhagen)
  • 2 draws and 2 Denmark wins in the last 4 meetings
  • Average goals per match: 2.25

Switzerland vs Denmark Predicted Lineups

Switzerland (3-4-2-1)

  • GK: Gregor Kobel
  • DEF: Nico Elvedi, Manuel Akanji, Ricardo Rodriguez
  • MID: Silvan Widmer, Michel Aebischer, Remo Freuler, Granit Xhaka
  • FWD: Zeki Amdouni, Dan Ndoye, Breel Embolo

Denmark (3-4-2-1)

  • GK: Kasper Schmeichel
  • DEF: Rasmus Kristensen, Jannik Vestergaard, Victor Nelsson
  • MID: Alexander Bah, Patrick Dorgu, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Albert Groenbaek
  • FWD: Christian Eriksen, Yussuf Poulsen, Rasmus Hoejlund

Both teams are likely to stick to a 3-4-2-1 formation, focusing on controlling the midfield and building attacks from wide areas. Switzerland’s creative play will likely be driven by Granit Xhaka and Zeki Amdouni, while Denmark will rely on Christian Eriksen’s vision and Yussuf Poulsen’s finishing abilities.

Tactical Analysis

Switzerland’s Game Plan

Switzerland will aim to dominate possession, a key strength, as demonstrated by their 54.6% average possession in recent matches. They will look to exploit Denmark’s wide areas using wing-backs like Silvan Widmer. However, Switzerland’s challenge will be converting their chances into goals, as they have struggled to capitalize on their opportunities.

Defensively, the Swiss must tighten up, particularly against a Denmark side that can be dangerous on the counter-attack. Their recent record of conceding 1.9 goals per match suggests vulnerability at the back, something they will need to address to keep Denmark’s attackers in check.

Denmark’s Game Plan

Denmark’s key to victory will be their solid defense and ability to exploit Switzerland’s weaknesses on the break. With only 0.9 goals conceded per match in their last 10 games, Denmark has proven their defensive resilience. Expect Denmark to sit back and absorb pressure, then strike on the counter through Eriksen’s playmaking and Hoejlund’s pace up front.

Denmark’s set-piece prowess, led by Eriksen and Hoejbjerg, could also be crucial in a match that may see few clear-cut chances from open play.

Switzerland vs Denmark Key Betting Markets

  • Draw: The tight nature of this contest makes the draw an appealing option, especially at odds of 3.20.
  • Under 2.5 Goals: Given the teams’ defensive strengths, a low-scoring affair is likely. This market is favored by many bettors.
  • Both Teams to Score (No): Another strong option if you expect a defensively controlled match, available at odds of 1.74.

Prediction: Draw @ 3.20

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Conclusion

This Nations League clash between Switzerland and Denmark is poised to be a closely fought, low-scoring affair. Both teams have shown defensive solidity, and with recent head-to-head matches often producing tight scorelines, we anticipate a cautious, tactical battle. A draw seems the most likely outcome, though either side could edge it with a moment of brilliance.