Como vs Udinese Betting Tips: Serie A Round 21

As Serie A enthusiasts prepare for the upcoming match between Como and Udinese, all eyes are on the clash at Stadio G. Sinigaglia. With both teams in need of crucial points, the stakes could not be higher. Let’s dive into the key aspects of this matchup, focusing on form, statistics, team news, and expert predictions to deliver a comprehensive analysis that provides a detailed picture of what to expect.

Recent Form: Como vs Udinese

Como: Recent Struggles and Key Stats

Como enters this match following a mixed run of results, having earned two wins, four losses, and four draws in their last ten Serie A encounters. This performance is a reflection of their struggles in both attacking and defending. In their most recent match against AC Milan, Como suffered a narrow 2-1 loss despite recording 50% possession and four shots on target. Their key player, Assane Diao, remains a bright spot, having scored in the defeat.

  • Goals per match: 1.0 (from 13.6 attempts, 4.7 shots on goal)
  • Possession: 54.2%
  • Defensive weaknesses: Opponents have averaged 1.2 goals from 10.0 attempts against Como.

Como’s attacking duo of Patrick Cutrone and Nico Paz, with two goals each, will need to step up to help their side challenge Udinese’s defense. In addition, the club has averaged 5.4 corners per game, providing an avenue to potentially create pressure on the visitors.

Udinese: Consistency with Defensive Grit

Udinese has experienced an up-and-down run of results, with two wins, four losses, and four draws in their past ten Serie A fixtures. Despite this, their ability to remain competitive, especially on the road, makes them a threat in this matchup. Their 0-0 draw with Atalanta showcased their defensive resilience, limiting their opponents to three shots on goal.

  • Goals per match: 0.9 (from 10.4 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal)
  • Possession: 49.4%
  • Defensive stability: Conceded 1.4 goals per match from 13.0 attempts.

Lorenzo Lucca, Udinese’s top scorer with three goals, along with Florian Thauvin and Souleymane Toure, will be key to unlocking Como’s defense. Furthermore, their attack has averaged 4.7 corners per match, which could increase if they manage to maintain possession.

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Head-to-Head: Como vs Udinese

Historically, Udinese has dominated their encounters with Como, winning the most recent clash 1-0 at home. This success is part of a longer trend of superiority, as evidenced by the following key statistics:

  • Previous meeting: Udinese won 1-0 at Bluenergy Stadium.
  • Head-to-head: Udinese has defeated Como in the past three meetings, with a strong defensive performance each time.

This record provides Udinese with a psychological advantage, and it’s reasonable to expect them to build on this success in their upcoming away fixture.

Predicted Lineups

Como (Predicted Lineup)

  • Formation: 3-4-2-1
  • Key players: Patrick Cutrone, Nico Paz, Assane Diao
  • Starting XI: Jean Butez; Edoardo Goldaniga, Alberto Dossena, Marc-Oliver Kempf; Ignace Van Der Brempt, Alieu Fadera, Maxence Caqueret, Lucas Da Cunha; Nico Paz, Gabriel Strefezza; Patrick Cutrone.

Udinese (Predicted Lineup)

  • Formation: 4-3-2-1
  • Key players: Lorenzo Lucca, Florian Thauvin, Sandi Lovric
  • Starting XI: Razvan Sava; Thomas Kristensen, Jaka Bijol, Oumar Solet, Hassane Kamara; Sandi Lovric, Jesper Karlstroem, Martin Payero; Florian Thauvin, Alexis Sanchez; Lorenzo Lucca.

Como vs Udinese Betting Insights: What the Odds Reveal

Asian Handicap: Udinese to Outperform Como

For those looking to place a bet on the Asian Handicap, Udinese offers solid value with a +0.25 goal head start. The odds of 2.04 on Udinese covering the +0.25 handicap indicate a higher chance of success, backed by their recent performances on the road. Udinese has covered the +0.25 line in 13 of their last 20 away games, showcasing their resilience in away matches.

  • Udinese +0.25: Odds of 2.04
  • Como -0.25: Como has failed to cover the -0.25 line in 8 of their last 10 games, highlighting their vulnerability.

Key Takeaways:

  • Udinese’s strong away record: With a +0.25 goal handicap, Udinese has been reliable on the road.
  • Como’s struggle in both attack and defense: They have had issues scoring and keeping opponents at bay.
  • Potential betting tips: Bet on Udinese to cover the +0.25 handicap and a 1-0 win. Consider over 4.7 corners for Udinese as a safer bet.

Correct Score Prediction: Udinese 1-0 Como

Given Como’s difficulties in converting chances and Udinese’s solid defensive record, a 1-0 win for Udinese is a plausible outcome. This scoreline is available at odds of 9.00, providing significant potential returns for bettors.

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Conclusion: Udinese’s Tactical Advantage

Despite a relatively poor run of form, Udinese possesses the tactical and individual quality to overcome Como in this Serie A clash. The combination of their recent dominance in head-to-head encounters, a solid defensive record, and the attacking prowess of key players like Lorenzo Lucca and Florian Thauvin positions them as the favorites in this match.

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