The upcoming EFL Cup semi-final second leg between Newcastle United and Arsenal at St James’ Park is set to be an intense clash. Both teams will be aiming to secure a place in the final, with Newcastle holding an advantage after a 2-0 victory at the Emirates in the first leg. Arsenal, however, will look to turn the tie around with their attacking prowess.
Newcastle vs Arsenal Recent Form & Head-to-Head Record
Newcastle United – Last 10 Matches
- Wins: 7
- Losses: 3
- Average Goals Scored: 2.5
- Shots on Target Per Match: 5.9
- Possession: 53.4%
- Key Players: Alexander Isak (12 goals), Jacob Murphy (4 goals, 5 assists)
- Clean Sheets: 5 (Martin Dubravka)
Newcastle’s form at home has been strong, with an impressive record of scoring two or more goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches. Despite their recent 2-1 defeat to Fulham, they remain a formidable side at St James’ Park.
Arsenal – Last 10 Matches
- Wins: 6
- Draws: 4
- Average Goals Scored: 2.1
- Shots on Target Per Match: 4.6
- Possession: 59.0%
- Key Players: Kai Havertz (4 goals), Gabriel Martinelli (3 goals), Gabriel Jesus (3 goals)
- Clean Sheets: 3 (David Raya)
Arsenal enters this match following a dominant 5-1 victory over Manchester City, showcasing their attacking capabilities. However, their defensive vulnerabilities away from home could be a concern.
Key Match Statistics
- Newcastle have scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
- Both teams have scored (BTTS) in Newcastle’s last 3 matches.
- Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
- 7 of the last 10 Arsenal away matches have resulted in BTTS.
Newcastle vs Arsenal Probable Lineups & Tactical Analysis
Newcastle United (4-3-3)
Predicted XI: Dubravka; Trippier, Botman, Schar, Burn; Guimaraes, Longstaff, Joelinton; Murphy, Isak, Gordon
Tactics:
- High pressing to disrupt Arsenal’s build-up.
- Utilizing wide areas for crosses and deliveries.
- Compact defensive shape to limit Arsenal’s midfield dominance.
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
Predicted XI: Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Rice, Partey; Saka, Odegaard, Martinelli; Havertz
Tactics:
- Quick passing and movement to break down Newcastle’s defense.
- High defensive line to maintain possession dominance.
- Exploiting Newcastle’s defensive transitions with pace.
Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Predictions & Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes @ 1.67
Given both teams’ attacking form, we anticipate goals from both sides. Newcastle’s home scoring record and Arsenal’s need to attack aggressively increase the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
Over 2.5 Goals – Yes @ 1.80
With Newcastle averaging 2.5 goals per game at home and Arsenal’s ability to score multiple goals in away matches, the Over 2.5 Goals market presents value.
Match Result Prediction: Arsenal to Win @ 2.00
Arsenal’s recent performances, including their 5-1 win over Manchester City, suggest they have the quality to secure a win despite their first-leg loss.
Match Prediction & Final Scoreline
We predict a high-scoring encounter with Arsenal edging past Newcastle in a thrilling 3-2 victory, pushing the match into extra time or even penalties.
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Conclusion
With Newcastle holding a 2-0 first-leg lead, Arsenal faces a challenging but not impossible task to turn things around. Expect an intense, attacking game with both teams contributing to an exciting semifinal clash. Bettors should consider Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals as strong betting options for this encounter.
