We anticipate another comprehensive win for Real Madrid as they prepare to face Deportivo Alavés in their upcoming La Liga clash. The historical data heavily favors Madrid, having won 8 of their last 9 encounters with Alavés, including a 5-0 thrashing in their previous meeting. With a potent attacking lineup and a rock-solid defense, Real Madrid -2 on the Asian Handicap at 2.04 odds represents an attractive betting option.
Madrid’s Recent Form: A Strong Offensive and Defensive Display
Real Madrid have been on a dominant run in La Liga, winning 6 and drawing 4 of their last 10 matches. In this period, Madrid have maintained a remarkable balance between attack and defense, averaging 2.6 goals per game while conceding only 0.7. Their control over possession has been equally impressive, with 61.9% on average, demonstrating their ability to dictate the tempo of the game. With key players like Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe in fine scoring form, we expect Madrid to put on another clinical display.
Real Madrid’s Key Statistics (Last 10 League Matches):
- Goals Scored: 2.6 per game
- Goals Conceded: 0.7 per game
- Possession: 61.9%
- Shots on Goal: 7.8 per match
- Top Scorer: Vinicius Junior (5 goals)
- Assists Leader: Brahim Diaz (3 assists)
- Clean Sheets: 6
Alavés’ Struggles Away from Home
Deportivo Alavés have been inconsistent this season, winning only 4 of their last 10 matches. Despite a narrow 2-1 victory over Sevilla in their previous match, their form on the road has been underwhelming. Alavés have struggled to assert themselves away from home, averaging just 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per game. The lack of possession has been a major issue for Luis Garcia’s side, with an average of only 38.9%, leaving them vulnerable to teams with high possession, like Real Madrid.
Alavés’ Key Statistics (Last 10 League Matches):
- Goals Scored: 1.3 per game
- Goals Conceded: 1.5 per game
- Possession: 38.9%
- Shots on Goal: 4.7 per match
- Top Scorer: Carlos Vicente (4 goals)
- Assists Leader: Giuliano Simeone (2 assists)
- Clean Sheets: 3
Real Madrid vs Alavés Predicted Lineups and Tactics
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
- Defenders: Lucas Vazquez, Antonio Ruediger, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy
- Midfielders: Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo
- Forwards: Vinicius Junior, Endrick
Carlo Ancelotti’s side will likely adopt their favored 4-2-3-1 formation, with Bellingham operating behind the forward line and Vinicius Junior providing pace and creativity down the left flank. With Tchouameni and Valverde in midfield, Madrid should have no trouble controlling possession and breaking down Alavés’ defense.
Alavés Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1):
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Hugo Novoa, Abdelkabir Abqar, Santiago Mourino, Moussa Diarra
- Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Ander Guevara, Luka Romero, Jon Guridi
- Forwards: Tomas Conechny, Kike Garcia
Alavés will likely deploy a defensive 4-2-3-1 setup, focusing on counter-attacking opportunities. Kike Garcia will be the key man up front, but without sufficient support, it is difficult to see Alavés troubling Madrid’s backline.
Real Madrid vs Alavés Betting Insights: Real Madrid’s Dominance Against Alavés
When evaluating the Asian Handicap for this match, Real Madrid -2 offers a promising value bet. Madrid have covered the -2 line in 5 of their last 9 games against Alavés, including 3 of their last 5 home matches. Given Alavés’ poor away form and Madrid’s attacking prowess, the odds of 2.04 appear generous, especially considering Madrid’s ability to consistently win by large margins.
Correct Score Prediction: We anticipate a 3-0 victory for Real Madrid, which offers solid value at odds of 7.50. Madrid’s superior quality in both attack and defense makes a clean sheet highly probable, while their attacking depth should see them secure a convincing win.
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Real Madrid vs Alavés Statistical Analysis: Possession, Corners, and Goals
Madrid’s dominance in possession and their high corner count have been key factors in their recent victories. On average, they have won 5.6 corners per match while conceding 4.5. In contrast, Alavés have struggled in this area, winning only 4.0 corners per game. Real Madrid are expected to overwhelm Alavés both in terms of possession and set-pieces, giving them a tactical advantage.
Real Madrid’s Corner Stats:
- Corners Won: 5.6 per game
- Corners Conceded: 4.5 per game
Alavés’ Corner Stats:
- Corners Won: 4.0 per game
- Corners Conceded: 3.9 per game
Conclusion: Real Madrid to Dominate
Considering all the statistical indicators, tactical setups, and recent form, Real Madrid are likely to secure a comfortable win against Alavés. We recommend backing Real Madrid -2 on the Asian Handicap at odds of 2.04, with a correct score prediction of 3-0. Alavés are unlikely to pose much of a threat, and Madrid’s superior firepower should see them take all three points.
