The highly anticipated second leg of the Europa League knockout phase play-off between Roma and Porto is set to take place at Stadio Olimpico. With the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw, both teams will be eager to secure their place in the next round. Our in-depth analysis covers team form, predicted lineups, key statistics, and betting odds to provide the most accurate prediction for this match.
???? Our next match will be against Porto at the Olimpico ????❤
— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) February 16, 2025
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Roma vs Porto Match Preview & Recent Form
Roma’s Recent Performance
Roma’s last outing in Serie A resulted in a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Parma. Claudio Ranieri’s squad dominated possession with 72% and registered four shots on target, with Matias Soule scoring the decisive goal.
Over their last 10 league matches:
- Wins: 6
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 1
- Goals Scored: 1.8 per match
- Goals Conceded: 0.8 per match
- Average Possession: 51.9%
- Key Players: Paulo Dybala (4 goals), Artem Dovbyk (4 goals), Alexis Saelemaekers (3 goals)
- Clean Sheets: 4 (Mile Svilar)
Porto’s Recent Performance
Porto secured a narrow 1-0 away win over Farense in their last Primeira Liga match, with Francisco Moura scoring the winner.
Over their last 10 league matches:
- Wins: 4
- Draws: 4
- Losses: 2
- Goals Scored: 1.6 per match
- Goals Conceded: 1.0 per match
- Average Possession: 66.2%
- Key Players: Samuel Aghehowa (4 goals), Rodrigo Mora (2 goals, 3 assists)
- Clean Sheets: 4 (Diogo Costa)
The previous three head-to-head encounters between these two sides resulted in one win each and one draw, showcasing their evenly matched capabilities.
Predicted Lineups & Team News
Roma (Predicted 4-3-3 Lineup)
Goalkeeper: Mile Svilar
Defenders: Gianluca Mancini, Mats Hummels, Evan N’Dicka, Mehmet Zeki Celik
Midfielders: Kouadio Kone, Leandro Paredes, Lorenzo Pellegrini
Forwards: Angelino, Paulo Dybala, Artem Dovbyk
Porto (Predicted 4-4-2 Lineup)
Goalkeeper: Diogo Costa
Defenders: Tiago Djalo, Nehuen Perez, Otavio, Joao Mario
Midfielders: Stephen Eustaquio, Alan Varela, Francisco Moura, Pepe
Forwards: Rodrigo Mora, Samuel Aghehowa
Injury updates and final lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.
Day -1 ☑???? #ASRFCP pic.twitter.com/L9kuTmFw6r
— FC Porto (@FCPorto) February 19, 2025
Key Match Statistics
- Roma have scored 2+ goals in 10 of their last 20 matches.
- Porto have scored 2+ goals in 14 of their last 22 Primeira Liga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 50% of their previous 20 games.
- Porto have kept clean sheets in 40% of their last 10 matches.
- Roma average 4.8 corners per match, while Porto average 6.2 corners per match.
Roma vs Porto Betting Odds & Predictions
The bookmakers favor Roma with a 58% probability of winning, reflected in their 1.73 odds. Porto, considered the underdogs, stand at 5.00 odds.
Key Betting Markets:
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) @ 1.91 – Given both teams’ attacking prowess, this market holds strong value.
- Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 – With both teams capable of scoring, expect an open game.
- Roma to Win & BTTS Yes @ 3.50 – A high-value bet combining the expected outcome.
Expert Betting Pick
???? Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes) @ 1.91
This market offers solid value as both teams have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring ability. For higher odds, consider combining BTTS with a Roma victory.
Final Score Prediction: Roma 2-1 Porto
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— AS Roma English (@ASRomaEN) February 17, 2025
Conclusion
With the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw, Roma and Porto both have everything to play for. Given their strong home form and attacking depth, Roma hold a slight advantage. However, Porto’s counter-attacking ability and efficiency in front of goal make them a formidable opp
