Sevilla host Las Palmas at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in a pivotal La Liga matchup with relegation implications. As both sides struggle for form, this encounter provides a wealth of betting angles and tactical talking points. Here’s a comprehensive preview built on hard data, expert analysis, and actionable predictions.
🌍 ¡Afición! Toma nota del horario del partido y síguenos desde cualquier parte del mundo. 💛💙#75AniversarioUD #LaUniónDePorVida #LaUniónHaceLasPalmas #SevillaFCLasPalmas pic.twitter.com/775YdUqs5t
— UD Las Palmas (@UDLP_Oficial) May 12, 2025
Match Preview: Pressure Mounts as Survival Beckons
Sevilla and Las Palmas sit dangerously close to the relegation zone heading into the final stretch of the 2024/25 La Liga campaign. Sevilla have managed just one win in their last ten matches, while Las Palmas enter the fixture on the back of a three-game losing streak. This match is more than a clash of styles—it’s a fight for survival.
Tactical Overview
Sevilla: Disjointed and Fragile
Sevilla’s 4-2-3-1 setup has lacked balance. Despite respectable average possession (46.5%) and 387 passes per match, they struggle to convert build-up play into goals. The Andalusians average only 0.9 goals from 12.0 shots per game, with just 4.6 hitting the target. Defensively, the picture isn’t much better—they concede an average of 1.4 goals and are prone to lapses, especially in wide areas.
Key players like Dodi Lukébakio and Kike Salas have shown flashes of quality, but the team’s inability to sustain pressure or protect leads has been their undoing.
Las Palmas: Structured and Patient
Las Palmas operate out of a 4-3-3 formation, focused on midfield compactness and quick transitions. With 46.4% possession and 9.2 shots per game, they rely on individual quality in attack rather than consistent build-up. Oliver McBurnie and Alberto Moleiro are the standout contributors, accounting for the majority of the team’s attacking output.
Their defensive structure has kept them competitive, but they too concede 1.4 goals per game—often due to a lack of midfield resistance when the backline is exposed.
Sevilla vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head Record
In their last three meetings, Sevilla have won two and drawn one. The most recent match—a 2-2 draw at Estadio de Gran Canaria—showed that Las Palmas are capable of troubling Sevilla, especially in transition.
However, it’s worth noting that Las Palmas have failed to beat Sevilla in over three years. Despite this, the momentum and statistical indicators suggest that a draw or narrow away victory is well within reach.
Sevilla vs Las Palmas Form Guide
Sevilla (Last 10 La Liga Matches):
- Wins: 1
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 6
- Goals Scored: 9
- Goals Conceded: 14
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Top Scorer: Kike Salas (2 goals)
Las Palmas (Last 10 La Liga Matches):
- Wins: 2
- Draws: 3
- Losses: 5
- Goals Scored: 11
- Goals Conceded: 14
- Clean Sheets: 1
- Top Scorer: Oliver McBurnie (3 goals)
🎙️ Diego Martínez: "We have a unique opportunity to earn three points"
— UDLP English (@UDLP_english) May 12, 2025
🔸 https://t.co/mTwHYqZF9b#SevillaFCLasPalmas #UnityMakesLasPalmas pic.twitter.com/oHbcLwNPRO
Sevilla vs Las Palmas Predicted Lineups
Sevilla (4-2-3-1):
Nyland – Carmona, Badé, Salas, Pedrosa – Agoume, Gudelj – Sanchez, Niguez, Fernandez – Lukébakio
Las Palmas (4-3-3):
Horkas – Viti, Suarez, Herzog, Marmol – Munoz, Essugo, Bajcetic – Ramirez, McBurnie, Moleiro
Sevilla vs Las Palmas Key Betting Insights
- Asian Handicap – Las Palmas +0.5 @ 2.00:
Sevilla have failed to cover the -0.5 line in nine of their last ten matches. Las Palmas have covered +0.5 in three of their last five away games. With Sevilla’s poor form and Las Palmas’ defensive resilience, this is a strong value play. - Total Goals – Under 2.5 @ 1.80:
Both teams are struggling to score consistently. Eight of Sevilla’s last ten games and six of Las Palmas’ last ten have ended with under 2.5 goals. - Corners – Las Palmas Under 3.5 @ 1.80:
Las Palmas average just 2.8 corners per away match recently. Their conservative style means they generate fewer set pieces, and this trend should continue against Sevilla.
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw
A low-scoring, evenly matched contest appears likely. Both teams lack firepower, and their defensive vulnerabilities cancel each other out. The 1-1 scoreline is well-priced at 6.10 and represents a logical reflection of their recent form.
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🗣 Caparrós spoke to the media ahead of facing @UDLP_english:
— Sevilla FC (@SevillaFC_ENG) May 12, 2025
⌛ A decisive game
💪 Time to be united
🏟 Back at home
Conclusion
This match may lack glamour, but it offers exceptional betting value and a fascinating tactical subplot. Sevilla’s fragility and Las Palmas’ pragmatism point toward a tightly contested draw. With value on the visitors in multiple markets, sharp bettors will find plenty of edge backing Las Palmas on the Asian handicap, goals under, and select player props.
